Common Day of First Hurricane Formation “Opposite to Media Studies” – Is {that a} wager?

Reposted from the NoTricksZone

By P Gosselin on March 20, 2021 Share this…

Lazy, uncritical media again fails to adequately examine data to produce misleading “news”.

The expert on tropical storms, Dr. Ryan Maue, analyzed data on whether climate change caused the first named hurricane to occur earlier and earlier each year, which means a longer hurricane season as the media recently claimed.

Media gaps uncovered again

Maue wrote, “Contrary to today’s media reports, the average first day of hurricane formation is, on average, nearly 12 days later compared to 1950-1970 and 2000-2020.”

On Twitter, Dr. Maue the following table from 1950:

Graphic: Dr. Ryan Maue

As the graph shows, the former hurricane actually occurred a little later and not earlier. Instead of starting in July as in the 1950s, they are now more likely to start in early August.

Media trick from 1980

Citing results obtained with the 1980 start trick, the media reported an earlier and earlier start date, Maue emphasizes.

Graphic: Dr. Ryan Maue

We know that CO2 emissions increased from 1950 to 1990. So, applying the alarmist CO2 theory, the first hurricane mentioned is expected to occur earlier and earlier in the year. Instead, it started later and later between 1950 and 1990, which means it has little or nothing to do with CO2.

“Artificially Inflated”

Overall, Maue described the “fixation on” named storms “and the extension of the season” as a “waste of time”. He notes that the data for the first hurricane is “very variable data” and that “there has been no significant trend – 2 days less in the last 20 years”.

He sums up: “All of the” named storms “trends are artificially inflated with no significant association with climate change.”

The Washington Post’s earlier “massive mistake”

This reminds us how the Jeff Bezos-operated Washington Post published another alarming article last year on how supposedly “hurricanes are decaying more slowly in a warming world.” Dr. Roger Pielke Jr. replied that the Nature paper, which the Washington Post uncritically quoted, contained a “massive error”.

“Says it shows hurricanes falling over land more slowly (more damaging) after landing. But they forgot to remove storms that land and then come back across the ocean, ”said Pielke

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