1.5C international warming by 2030 – however there may be nonetheless an opportunity to keep away from 2C – watts with that?
Guest essay by Eric Worrall
Who will tell China? According to the scientists surveyed by the SMH, there is still an opportunity to avoid a 2 ° C warming if we stop expanding all coal and gas projects immediately.
Given the climate endgame in a world warmer by 1.5 degrees
By Nick O’Malley
April 15, 2021 – 12:01 p.m.
The world will break the more ambitious Paris climate target of 1.5 degrees as early as 2030, but could still avoid a more catastrophic 2 degree warming if governments act immediately to drastically cut emissions, according to a new report.
The Climate Council’s report, Aim High, Go Fast, is based on new data from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and reflects similar findings from the Australian Academy of Sciences released last week. However, it sparked a dissenting report from a prominent Australian climate researcher. Bill Hare.
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In the report, the Climate Change Council says that given Australia’s historic contribution to global warming, its high emissions and its natural benefits from renewable energy production, the government should now seek to cut emissions 75 percent below 2005 levels by 2030 and net to reach zero by 2035.
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When asked whether such an abrupt reduction is possible, one of the report’s authors, Executive Director of the Climate Change Institute at the Australian National University, Will Steffen, cited the example of Allied nations that transformed their economies in five years to axis power in the second Defeat World War.
“The point is, it’s going to be a tough decade, no doubt about it,” he said. “There will be some disruption soon, but it will be an exciting decade and it will set us up for a much better future beyond 2030.”
To achieve such goals, Professor Steffen said the government must stop the expansion of coal and gas immediately and plan to support the affected communities as fossil fuels are running out. Second, Australia would need to achieve almost 100 percent renewable energy in its energy system by 2030.
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Read more: https://www.smh.com.au/environment/climate-change/facing-the-climate-endgame-in-a-world-bound-for-1-5-degrees-warming-20210414- p57j8j .html
Oddly enough, the Climate Council doesn’t seem to have published its report on its own website – I’m sure it will appear at some point. Don’t be upset by Bill Hare’s dissenting report, he apparently believes the Climate Council is not alarming enough.
I’m looking forward to 2030. Climate alarmists have again fallen into the trap of making radical prediction with a short-term horizon. Just like the ice-free Arctic from Al Gore by 2013 or the prediction of the end of rain for 2006 by Tim Flannery, Climate Council, 2030 is too early.
Either we won’t reach 1.5 ° C by 2030, even though we’ve built hundreds of new coal-fired power plants. In this case, climate alarmists will have to explain why, or they’ll look stupid when we hit 1.5 ° C and no one can tell the difference. Either way, it’ll be a fun new entry on the failed climate forecast list.
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